In case you were curious: a just-passing-through visit to Ladbrokes yields the following:

OUTRIGHT: Black Eagle 1:5 against, PG 10:3 against.

Black Eagle at 370+ EV is favorite among all outcomes, at 2:1.

The Geezer is the underdog in Florida and Ohio (13:8 in both), Nevada (2:1), Virginia (9:4), New Hampshaah (3:1), Wisconsin (9:2), Michigan, New Mexico and Pennsylvania (5:1), Minnesoda (6:1, ya!), and Iowa (8:1).  Barry? Slight dog in Indiana (pegged at even money, with the juice built into Geezer’s odds, on 8:11 against).  Flip those numbers for Missouri and North Carolina, with PG being a slight dog there.

Not a lot of value bets there.  But, then again, Brits will bet (and lose money to the house) on anything.

Entertainment value only, people.  (Which means it ain’t worth that much.  Just saying — drunken English punters are betting what’s left of the house on Hopey.)  Also: betting on politics here in the states is kinda sorta illegal.  Plus I wouldn’t trust off-shore betting houses as far as I can throw a pair of dice.

Pakistan is one step away from bankrupt.  Not a company in Pakistan.  The whole damn country.  (We shouldn’t point and snicker, though.  We are halfway home as it is.)

At this point, so long as we bring a bunch of gold bars with us, they will let us invade and take Osama and perhaps even greet us as liberators and shower us with flowers and candies while we’re there.

Sun-Times says that Rezko sentencing is in December. Which is to say, not the week before the election.

“We are experiencing a delay, and we regret the inconvenience. We expect to be moving shortly. Yes we can. [DING, DONG] Doors closing.”

NB: Judge on the case is a Whitewater counsel. U.S. Attorney is the yummy Patrick Fitzgerald. So, any claims of FIX! FIX! are kind of, you know, off.

Per Politico, Geezerplex is going to shelve Ayers/NAH NAH NAH attacks, in favor of focusing on the economy — which of course is the Geezer’s strong point.

Of course, this won’t stop 527s from doing having at the Chicago crew. And it’s possible that Talibunny may not get the message. But still — things are getting worse for the old man, if that were even possible.

Note well, however, that there’s probably an ad or twenty already in the can on all of this. And also one about Obama’s drug use. And the whole flag-pin genre. And God knows what else. The endgame here may very well be an ad blitz in the last 72 hours in redneck sectors of Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and North Carolina bringing all of this shit up in a last-ditch effort to take any of those states. It may kill him nationally, but the game is in Appalachia right now for McCain — it’s his only shot.

Keep chanting this to yourselves as a mantra — THIS IS NOT OVER YET.

From the Philadelphia Daily News, this tidbit:

“At 9:29 p.m., I received in an email the sleaziest political press release I’ve ever seen. It came from the Republican Party of Pennsylvania and it’s headlined: ‘PAGOP: OBAMA – A TERRORIST’S BEST FRIEND.'”

Battery-chucking bastards.

We call him the Geezer for a reason.  Actually, several.  But he seems to have forgotten that YOU DO NOT SCREW WITH OLD PEOPLES’ HEALTH BENEFITS. Old people forget things, however, so it’s not a complete surprise.

The liberal fascists (sorry, Jonah) at the, uh, Wall Street Journal have run this story (quoted post-jump), demonstrating that News Corp. is totally in the tank for Black Eagle through their pointing out that Medicare and Medicaid would be cut by $1.3 trillion over ten years.

And thus the door opens to a legit Mediscare ad campaign in Florida. It means that both Michigan and, now, Florida may — even four weeks out — be considered lost causes at the Geezerplex. If you had that in the pool back in June, you freaking win. (Meanwhile, we can now say that the explosion of the heads of PUMAs can be timed, with precision.)

If that is factored in, and presuming Obama wins in all blue states besides Pennsylvania and New Hampshire and takes down ethanol-loving Iowa (that is, HI, WA, OR, CA, NM, MN, WI, IA, IL, MI, FL, DC, MD, DE, NJ, NY, CT, RI, MA, VT and ME, all blue) that makes Obama 266 electoral votes. Which means that, to win, John McCain has to run the freaking table — meaning that all the swing states go against the current tide. Even if you pull Minnesota and Wisconsin (ya!) off the table (which is possible), all Barry has to do to win is take Pennsylvania (doable) and one more state to freeze Geezer out.

Only one thing to say: if John McCain wins this thing, it will be nothing short of miraculous. Of course, the GOP has been known to buy/steal miracles before. But still — four weeks out, it looks really good for Black Eagle.

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So, basic opinions about Tailbunny are locked in.  Her debate was a loss — notwithstanding the expectations game.  The only way opinions on her become unlocked is if she does an actual, honest-to-God interview with somebody who is not a raving talk-show loon.

And as we have seen, Black Eagle is pwning Geezer on the whole economic meltdown thing.  The unemployment numbers are locked in, as is the fact that Dubya has seen the economy go down, hard.  Thus, the third debate with DJ Bob “Where You At, Fort Worth?” Schieffer is probably not going to do Geezer much good.

And thus: Tuesday night may just be for all the marbles.  It’ll be in Nashville, with “undecided” voters asking questions.  This being the South, you’d have to think that the MAVERICK will have a home-court advantage.  But, after the jump, I have a thought on what Barry can do — particularly because McCain has announced that the last month will be all about the 60s radical, the slumlord, and Rev. NAH NAH NAH. In short: jump that bastard — take the last club out of his hand and (rhetorically) beat him with it. Barry — BOOMAYE.

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