…if Mitt Romney loses Ohio. According to Karl Rove’s own final prediction for Fox News. If you look at the numbers, Obama wins with 271 if he takes Ohio, according to Rove.

Considering Karl Rove’s job is GOP spin, it’s pretty significant that he doesn’t give Mitt a path to victory without Ohio. And when you consider that Nate Silver has Obama ahead by three in Ohio, and the even the Rightward leaning Rasmussen has that race tied, Rove’s view of the election isn’t that rosy for Republicans. Oh, one more thing: Rove’s map has Romney winning 6 of the 8 states that Fox has declared tossups, a tall order given that Obama leads Romney in 23 of 26 polls in swing states.

Will that make tonight any less brutally agonizing? Probably not. I still haven’t decided if I’m staying up to watch, or or downing a few cocktails and putting myself to sleep before the results start rolling in.

It’s official:

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Remember back when fact check site Politifact.org rated an objectively factual statement of Barack Obama’s as “Half True” then had to revise its judgement after they were called out on the absurdity of the grade?

Well, it seems that the fact check site that tries so hard to ensure methodological “balance” that it heavily weights the scales against Democrats, is up to it’s old tricks again. In one of its fact checks of Wednesday’s debate, Politifact examined Barack Obama’s claim that the Romney/Ryan 20% across-the-board tax cut would cost $5 trillion dollars, and concluded that it was only Half-True. I’ll take the liberty of quoting the  Politifact piece directly:

Obama said: “Governor Romney’s proposal that he has been promoting for 18 months calls for a $5 trillion tax cut, on top of $2 trillion of additional spending for our military. And he is saying that he is going to pay for it by closing loopholes and deductions. The problem is that he’s been asked over 100 times how you would close those deductions and loopholes, and he hasn’t been able to identify them.” Read more »

“I just want to make sure I got this straight… He’ll get rid of regulations on Wall Street, but he’s going to crack down on Sesame Street?!”

-Barack Obama, thinking of the perfect comeback… the next day.

(Source: Eric Zorn)

The folks over at Think Progess have put together a minute by minute compendium of the lies that Mitt Romney told in Wednesday’s debate. An example:

7) “And the reason is because small business pays that individual rate; 54 percent of America’s workers work in businesses that are taxed not at the corporate tax rate, but at the individual tax rate….97 percent of the businesses are not — not taxed at the 35 percent tax rate, they’re taxed at a lower rate. But those businesses that are in the last 3 percent of businesses happen to employ half — half of all the people who work in small business.” Far less than half of the people affected by the expiration of the upper income tax cuts get any of their income at all from a small businesses. And those people could very well be receiving speaking fees or book royalties, which qualify as “small business income” but don’t have a direct impact on job creation. It’s actually hard to find a small business who think that they will be hurt if the marginal tax rate on income earned above $250,000 per year is increased Read more »

In what is, no doubt, a sign of increasing desperation driven by Mitt Romney’s perpetually lousy poll numbers, conservatives from across the media spectrum have, in recent days, turned to their old standby strategy. When things get tough, naked appeals to racism might just do the trick: Read more »

So remember when Mitt Romney produced his super secret, 14 year old audio recording of then State Senator Barack Obama announcing that he supported some wealth re-distribution with the aim of giving everyone a “fair shot?” The audio tape pretty much hit the ground with a dull thud. After all, Obama wasn’t really saying anything more radical than that he supported such things as public education, pre-natal care, garbage collection, police and firefighters (all tax funded programs which are, by definition, possible only thanks to income re-distribution).

Well, it turns out that another politician has an old audio tape floating around, and that man is a fella by the name of Paul Ryan. Only this tape is not quite as old. It’s from 2005, and it was delivered to a gathering of Ayn Rand followers. And if you suspect that Ryan’s not quite so hot on income-redistribution you’d be right. Listen in rapt wonder as Ryan explains that Social Security is “a collectivist system, a welfare transfer system” and issues a thinly veiled call for the program’s privatization: Read more »